The health care plan unveiled this week by Governor Walker would undo many years of progress on improving access to quality, affordable health care. My biggest concern initially was that it would reverse most of the gains made over the last 5 years under the Affordable Care Act (ACA). However, the damage caused by the Governor’s plan would go much further than that, because it would also undo much of the progress that has been made over the last decade or two as many states improved and expanded Medicaid coverage (such as Wisconsin’s creation of BadgerCare in 1999).
Under Walker’s proposal, millions of adults across the country are likely to lose their Medicaid coverage – as states restrict eligibility in response to the elimination of enhanced federal funding for Medicaid expansions. However, the damage wouldn’t stop there. By block granting Medicaid funding, states would almost certainly be compelled to dial back eligibility and the scope of services. Read more
Preliminary Figures Suggest Strong Improvement in Wisconsin
The Affordable Care Act (ACA) has dramatically reduced the number of uninsured adults, according to new data released by Gallup this week. A nationwide poll of about 88,000 people during the first 6 months of 2015 found that the percentage of adults who were uninsured dropped to 11.7% this year, compared to 13.4% in the second and third quarters of 2014 and 17.3% in 2013. More specifically, the uninsured rate among adults was 11.9% in the first quarter of 2015 and fell to just 11.4% during the second quarter.
The Gallup polling also includes state-level data, and those figures show especially large improvements in insurance coverage in the states that have expanded Medicaid and have embraced the ACA. The seven states with the largest percentage point gains in coverage (AR, KY, OR, RI, WA, CA, & WV) are all states that have expanded Medicaid and have state-run health insurance marketplaces. Read more
Now that the last significant lawsuit challenging the federal health care reform law has been turned aside, it’s clear that the Affordable Care Act is the law of the land. However, that fact will generate more debate in Congress about the law, as its opponents turn more attention to trying to repeal the ACA.
While that debate heats up, we need to look objectively at the evidence regarding the law’s effects – starting with the effect on insurance coverage. In this blog post I’ve pulled together the best available survey data regarding the effects of the ACA on the number of Americans and Wisconsinites who are uninsured. Read more
A Supreme Court decision expected within the next week could price health insurance out of reach for millions of Americans, including most of the 183,000 Wisconsinites insured through the federal Marketplace; however, state officials could head off that outcome. In Wisconsin it’s particularly important for state lawmakers to remedy the problem because they made our state more reliant on federal subsidies for the Marketplace when they ended BadgerCare eligibility for about 60,000 adults and 3,000 children. Read more
Wisconsin has more at stake than most other states when the U.S. Supreme Court issues a ruling in King v. Burwell, which will determine whether people can continue to get federal tax credits for health care coverage purchased through the federal health insurance marketplace. Read more
By Siphoning off More TANF Funding to Pay for the EITC, Committee Undercuts Arguments Against Using Federal Funds
The Joint Finance Committee votes Thursday, May 21, on a wide range of Medicaid issues, including whether to expand BadgerCare and save upwards of $345 million that could help prevent deep cuts in higher education and other parts of the budget. The most frequent argument made by conservatives against capturing that federal assistance is that we shouldn’t accept federal funding that might not be secure. However, if you were carefully watching the Finance Committee’s budget votes last Thursday you would have gotten a very different perspective on the willingness of the majority party to accept federal funding.
There were at least two times last Thursday when the JFC voted to amend the Governor’s budget in ways intended to capture or utilize more federal funding. In one case (motion #345) the committee unanimously approved new standards that will make it easier for the Department of Children and Families to close child support cases. Read more
Increase in Childless Adult Enrollment Boosts Costs and Potential Savings
The number of childless adults participating in BadgerCare is now expected to be about 6,800 per year higher than the budget bill assumed, which means the cost of not accepting enhanced federal assistance for covering that population is also considerably higher.
A paper issued by the Legislative Fiscal Bureau this afternoon contains the new enrollment assumptions for childless adults and other Medicaid groups. By using those figures to do some quick calculations, I estimate that the state would save at least $23 million more than the Fiscal Bureau calculated back in February, when it said that by expanding BadgerCare and accepting the increased federal funding Wisconsin would enjoy a net savings of $345 million during the 2015-17 biennium. (My calculation is based just on the increased childless adult caseload and assumes that other factors, such as the cost per individual, haven’t changed since February.)
[May 21 update: LFB figures released this afternoon show that the net increase in savings was a little smaller than I calculated, which suggests that other variables also came into play. Read more
From a budget perspective, no other state has nearly as much to gain as Wisconsin from expanding Medicaid coverage for low-income adults. Among the 21 states that have yet to expand Medicaid to cover low-income adults up to 138% of the federal poverty level, all the rest would have to spend a little more state funding (before accounting for indirect benefits), whereas Wisconsin is the only state that would have a large savings.
Cost Growth Underscores the Value of Accepting Federal Funds for BadgerCare Expansion
The latest quarterly report on the state Medicaid budget, issued this week by the Department of Health Services (DHS), reinforces our concerns about the choice of Wisconsin lawmakers to spend substantially more for BadgerCare and insure far fewer people than if the state expanded eligibility to cover additional low-income adults.
The new report reveals a $24.8 million net increase in projected Medicaid and BadgerCare spending in the current fiscal year, relative to what DHS estimated just three months ago. Despite that increase in program costs, the department says the Medicaid budget remains in balance because they plan to more than double the amount of drug settlement funds allocated for the Medicaid budget. (That funding comes from payments by manufacturers to settle lawsuits alleging they improperly charged for medications used by Medicaid recipients.)
The jump in Wisconsin’s Medicaid costs does not come as a big surprise – considering the rapid growth in BadgerCare enrollment of childless adults, which is now almost 60% above the level that DHS originally expected it to reach at the end of the current fiscal year. Read more
Number of Childless Adults in BadgerCare Jumps by More than 7,000 in February
The latest open enrollment period for the federal insurance Marketplace caused tens of thousands of Wisconsinites to apply for health insurance – sharply increasing the number of people signing up for subsidized plans and also causing a big jump in BadgerCare enrollment. Those trends are a major success story for the Affordable Care Act, but they pose a challenge for state lawmakers.
The number of childless adults in BadgerCare has jumped by more than 10% since December, which significantly increases the program’s cost. However, that unanticipated surge in enrollment also substantially increases the amount the state could save if state lawmakers accept the federal funding that would pay almost all of the cost of covering childless adults. Read more